Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.175150 0.197532 0.221122 0.247781 0.277017 0.308048 0.343415
2025-05-11 0.147607 0.178182 0.212159 0.252526 0.298977 0.350550 0.411931
2025-05-18 0.128881 0.165006 0.207010 0.259046 0.321338 0.393058 0.481393
2025-05-25 0.110387 0.149313 0.196508 0.257239 0.332547 0.422063 0.535635
2025-06-01 0.096287 0.137033 0.188366 0.256720 0.344174 0.451067 0.590204
2025-06-08 0.084626 0.126358 0.180851 0.255737 0.354306 0.477837 0.642329
2025-06-15 0.077340 0.120578 0.178872 0.261234 0.372353 0.514640 0.707809
2025-06-22 0.069311 0.112817 0.173357 0.261240 0.382666 0.541379 0.760837
2025-06-29 0.062341 0.105790 0.168110 0.260928 0.392067 0.566777 0.812467
2025-07-06 0.056276 0.099442 0.163193 0.260489 0.400878 0.591274 0.863249
2025-07-13 0.051914 0.095248 0.160991 0.263585 0.414458 0.622361 0.923508
2025-07-20 0.049001 0.093045 0.161516 0.270526 0.433566 0.661428 0.995546
2025-07-27 0.044852 0.088533 0.158324 0.271926 0.445024 0.690700 1.055753
2025-08-03 0.042030 0.085979 0.157977 0.277548 0.462810 0.729383 1.130178
2025-08-10 0.039807 0.084240 0.158764 0.284873 0.483308 0.772465 1.211924
2025-08-17 0.036076 0.079393 0.154039 0.283074 0.489683 0.795043 1.264731
2025-08-24 0.032961 0.075352 0.150330 0.282597 0.497903 0.820377 1.321984
2025-08-31 0.030070 0.071422 0.146483 0.281579 0.505070 0.844159 1.377370
2025-09-07 0.028515 0.069956 0.146841 0.287552 0.523464 0.885228 1.459178
2025-09-14 0.026236 0.066772 0.143851 0.287572 0.532127 0.911573 1.519479
2025-09-21 0.024118 0.063688 0.140795 0.287242 0.540082 0.936895 1.578675
2025-09-28 0.022173 0.060755 0.137787 0.286772 0.547670 0.961710 1.637523
2025-10-05 0.020841 0.059034 0.136963 0.290124 0.561706 0.996916 1.712982